Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Mike Evans Notes, Thoughts, and Final Grade

Evans vs. LSU

  • Creates separation by blatantly pushing off on 5 yard curl, no call
  • Creates good separation at LOS on 3 step slant-but Drops ball
  • Is able to get a step in press man, catches it, but just out of bounds
  • Looks like he does a good job of creating separation at top of his routes, even his he pushes off
  • 3rd & long runs right by press WR, slaps away his press, is wide open, QB misses him
  • In RZ-wins inside vs. CB, is open by about 3 yards, QB misses easy TD 
  • Certainly not a sudden WR. Doesn't show good quickness with ball in his hands
  • Mosses S on jump ball. Doesn't even extend his arms, still catches it
  • Great adjustment to under-thrown ball on goal line fade. Goes to ground for TD(ruled incomplete)
Good game for Evans, he's certainly not sudden, but if you put the ball up, he's going to catch it. He does a good job of adjusting on bad balls, and creating separation at the top of his routes.

Evans vs. Auburn
  • Catches screen and goes for TD. Good buildup speed.
  • Excellent catch downfield, high points the ball.
  • Catches another screen and just runs free for long TD. 
  • Nice block on screen
  • Drops ball on comeback route, hit him in the hands
  • On 3rd down route, can't create separation or even get off jam still 10 yards down the field struggling
  • Really nice in route
  • Good blocking downfield
  • Back shoulder fade, impossible to stop
  • Off in route, uses nice stiff arm and gets about 10 extra YAC yards
  • Catches deep comeback but at the expense of Manziel extending the play
This game displayed Evan's YAC ability. I think he runs very good underneath routes. I'm noticing that he's benefited by Manziel extends plays. His ability to high point the ball is phenomenal.

Evans vs. Arkansas
  • Catches deep ball, doesn't create separation but because size, he's open
  • Catches a TD on another extended play-though was open on in route underneath good sideline awareness
  • Ridiculous catch in traffic for a TD.
  • Good dig route
  •  Good effort blocking
Evans had some highlight plays. Very good at in breaking routes, and catching in traffic, still a little worried about creating separation down-field

Evans vs Bama
  • Back shoulder fade is unstoppable with Evans
  • Really good sideline awareness on deep catch
  • Beats CB's press, works to outside and leaves enough space along sideline
  • Doesn't win initially, but is able to get a big play down field due to Manziel extending play
  • Is covered again, but Manziel just puts it up and Evans catches it
  • Really nice job of pressing the CB and eating his cushion up. Then strides up/stiff arm for 95 yards
  • They're just throwing the ball up at this point and he's catching everything. He's covered, doesn't matter
This was tough game to evaluate. It was basically a bunch of jump balls. He just owned the catch point this game. The long TD should he can get up to good top speed

Evans vs Mizzou
  • No room to run on screen play
  • Into the 2nd qtr, just not able to separate 
  • Good job of getting up field. Turns a 3 yard catch into a 10 yard 1st down
  • Is unable to build up speed and press the CB's cushion
  • CB all over him on Dig route
  • Nothing doing on a drag route
  • #31 doing a fantastic job on Evans
  • Evans catches 4 yard curl, but tackled immediately 
  • Is open underneath, Manziel misses him
  • Nothing doing on a screen pass again
This was a poor game for Evans, Mizzou did a good job of mixing up coverage, and completely took him out of the game. I don't know if it was a slower track, or what, but Evans didn't look anywhere near as explosive as he did off the LOS in the other games.

Evans vs. Ole Miss
  • Doesn't create separation down-field
  • Still having a issues separating after a couple of possessions
  • Ole Miss is now double teaming Evans-at least on that 1 play
  • Has a chance to make a catch in traffic on skinny post-drop-targeting call
  • On Skinny post on 3rd & Long is covered. Needed to get inside release, didn't. Isn't quick enough to get around CB and cross his face
  • On deep ball, is able to use his hands to fight off CB, glide by him for a half step. Ball under-thrown
  • Looked like he came open on intermediate dig, Manziel just missed him
  • Is very good at catching the ball and immediately getting up-field 
  • Really good in route. Hesitated off the line, then exploded and cut in. Was open, no throw.
  • Is running a lot of 2-3 step routes where he just sits down
  • Covered pretty well down-field, not able to create separation  
  • Comes open on drag route, turns it up for big gain. Nice YAC play
  • When it's man coverage-#1 was able to run with him pretty easily on the drag routes
Another not so hot game for Evans. He was open on plays where Manziel missed him a couple times, but he was covered pretty well for the majority of the game. Separation issues down-field are apparent.

Grade/Final Thought

Evans is the type of WR who is open, even if he isn't open. He can make a living on in breaking routes and back shoulder fades. Evans defines "owning the catch point. At the top of his route, he's good at creating separation. Primarily when he is going across the middle.  He also is very good along the sideline, great awareness. Where he struggles is where he has to create separation on his own, going down-field. He's nowhere near as sudden as other WRs in the class, and I question whether he'll be able to eat up a corner's cushion on a consistent basis.

Multiple Pro Bowl Player, Top 10  8.5 – 9.0
Highly Productive Starter, 1st Round  8.0 – 8.4
Very Good Starter, Early 2nd Round  7.8 – 7.9
Reliable Starter, 2nd Round  7.5 – 7.7
Potential Starter in Year 2, 3rd Round  7.0 – 7.4
Backup/Spot Starter, 4th Round  6.5 – 6.9
Productive Backup, 5th Round  6.0 – 6.4
Very Good Backup/STs, 6th Round  5.5 – 5.9
Quality Backup/Good STs, 7th Round  5.0 – 5.4
Backup/STs/Project Player, 7th Round  4.5 – 4.9
Priority Free Agent w/ Limitations  4.0 – 4.4
Non-Draftable    < 4.0

Trait WeightGrade
Route Running43.5
Speed2.51.9
Hands32.7
Ball Skills33
YAC Ability22
Effort22
Blocking22
Toughness21.8
Awareness2.52.4
Athleticism21.7
Evans graded out as an 8.3. So a mid 1st round grade. His ability to dominate the catch point, be open when he's not really open, and bail QBs out of tough situations will loom large at the next level. At his size, his ability to catch in traffic should really help him be a good starter at the next level. 

Friday, December 27, 2013

Kyle Van Noy is a 1st round talent

Van Noy vs. Virginia 

  • Good job of setting the edge vs. Run
  • Doesn't win initially, but with a swim move, beats LT late hits QB
  • Good job of dropping into coverage
  • Doesn't react quick on read option play-RB runs right by him for gain of 8
  • Next play is same RO look, this time reacts fast, and has an opportunity TFL, misses tackle
  • Came all the way across the formation, read QB and made tackle. Looks really comfortable in space
  • Good job of avoiding block, has chance to make tackle, step late
  • Throws OT out of the way for TFL-impressive play
  • Was able to win the edge off a "speed" rush and force INT
  • Really good inside swim move, just misses sack in backfield
  • Beats OT on swim move, then RB on the same, incredible play-again misses sack
  • Beats RT on inside move again, still can't get home
  • Looks so fluid in coverage at getting to his drops. Looks effortless
  • Drops into MLB in coverage, tips pass after reading QB, very nice play
Good game overall. Just a good, sound football player. He didn't have an elite first step, but won with a nice counter move inside. Was one of the better OLBs I've watched in coverage. You can tell he understands that phase of the game.

Van Noy vs. Texas
  • Uses spin move to get free on 3rd & Short
  • Reacts will to now throw, runs down WR for tackle
  • Again spin move vs LT this time, gets free, but QB escapes tackle
  • Comes free on stunt for QB pressure
  • Very instinctive. Knows how to keep himself clean & what to do in specific down & distances
  • Attacks outside shoulder of RT, gets him to over commit and beats him inside for QB hit
  • Comes free, 1-on-1 vs. RB, beats him with swim for QB hit.
  • Sack. But bailed out by QB leaving pocket. Reallly just came down the line
  • Bites on PA, man gets 1st down in flat
  • Really good job of using his hands to keep himself clean. Jukes RT and gets sack
This was a really good game for Van Noy. He still missed a few opportunities to make a tackle, but his instincts really showed. He understands he's not going to win with speed so sets up the OT with a move to win instead. 

Van Noy vs. Utah St.

  • 1st play recognizes quick throw, stops rush, pick 6. Incredible play
  • Comes down the line, reacts well, but misses tackle in the backfield
  • Is in man coverage on TE. Good COD skills, covers drag well
  • Good jump off the ball
  • Such a sound player in his drops. Gets to where he needs to be
  • Reads run, beats slot WR block, makes TFL. Another great play
  • Beats LT on inside swim for QB hit
  • Bites on PA fake, QB runs for 1st down when he should've been there
  • As backside DE, makes tackle on speed option away from him. Good pursuit.
  • Allows catch in flat for gain of 3-4. Not a bad play, kind of drifts in his drop
  • Good job of using his hands to disengage on two blockers, run was away from him
  • Again, good job of disengaging vs. Run
  • Doesn't get rush, but deflects pass at LOS
  • Tries to bull-rush RT, but doesn't have any impact
For someone who didn't generate more than 1 pressure as a pass rusher, he dominated this game. Was incredibly active vs. the run, showed off his instincts in coverage & was constantly keeping himself free.Great game by Van Noy.

Grade

(I don't have my 2012 notes on him anymore, but here's my hot take: he was still pretty damn good)



Multiple Pro Bowl Player, Top 10  8.5 – 9.0
Highly Productive Starter, 1st Round  8.0 – 8.4
Very Good Starter, Early 2nd Round  7.8 – 7.9
Reliable Starter, 2nd Round  7.5 – 7.7
Potential Starter in Year 2, 3rd Round  7.0 – 7.4
Backup/Spot Starter, 4th Round  6.5 – 6.9
Productive Backup, 5th Round  6.0 – 6.4
Very Good Backup/STs, 6th Round  5.5 – 5.9
Quality Backup/Good STs, 7th Round  5.0 – 5.4
Backup/STs/Project Player, 7th Round  4.5 – 4.9
Priority Free Agent w/ Limitations  4.0 – 4.4
Non-Draftable    < 4.0



TraitWeightGrade
Vs. The Run43.8
Pass Rush Ability43.4
Read & React32.7
First Step21.5
Pass Rush Moves21.7
Tackling 21.5
Coverage22
Motor22
Stack & Shed/Strength at POA21.7
Feet/COD22

My final grade for Van Noy is an 8.02. So a late 1st rounder. Van Noy is a great talent. He's a true "football player" who doesn't make mistakes, knows his assignments vs. the run and in coverage. He understands he won't win with speed, but will find a way to be disruptive. Because he's not an explosive athlete, I wouldn't take him early in the draft. He does everything else well and wouldn't be surprised at all to see his name called as a 1st rounder. 

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

A Bunch of Words on Vic Beasley and his 2013 Performance

Beasley vs. Georgia


  • Gets around the edge, does a good job of swatting the LT's hands away to keep himself clean
  • Disengages & shows great closing speed as he hits QB
  • Shows off a really good inside move. Gets LT to over commit and beats him inside step(misses tackle in backfield
  • LT blocks him down about 5 yards on the goal line
  • Fires off the ball, gets into LTs pads, punches him, and falls down. Underrated strength
  • LT tries to cut block and VB avoids it, runs right around him for sack. Crazy closing speed
  • Tips screen pass for PBU
  • Walks LT back on bull rush-but doesn't counter, so no effect
  • Beats LT to spot on run play, gets their late. Likely an assist on TFL
  • Gets sack-gets into LT's pads, gets him off balance for sack
  • Tries to lower shoulder and take on block and gets completely blown up by FB
  • TE drives him out of the play pretty handily/easily
Overall, a really good game for Beasley. He's all speed. Whether he;s beating the LT to the edge, or using his speed to set up a counter move. Or beating the OT/TE to the spot on a run play. Speed, Speed, Speed. He was very impressive this game. Did have an issue when he was ran at, defenders were able to lock onto him and wash him out of the play.

Beasley vs. Virginia

  • After being locked up for a few plays, good job of beating LT to spot to make TFL
  • Whoa. has QB in backfield on option, QB out runs him/stiff arms him & beats him to edge for TD
  • Not a factor in this game after 1st half. No splash/impact plays. Only pressure off of screens.
  • Tried Bull-rush and failed
Not a very good game for Beasley. Didn't show much at all. In his defense, they were chipping him with a RB early, but couldn't get around the LT with speed, and wasn't able to counter at all.

Beasley vs. Wake
  • Ridiculous jump off the snap, beats LT inside, forces QB to roll out and throw before he wanted too
  • Is getting around the LT, just a step late for a sack. Maybe needs to bend the edge a little tighter
  • Shows off that good counter step inside, beats LT for sack.
  • Chasing down speed, you can really see his athleticism. Can really run.
  • Tries out of control spin move and LT just locks onto him
  • Coverage sack
It's hard to describe exactly what I mean, but I'm not sure Beasley is a great "stop and start" athlete. Seen it twice now where he was caught flat footed, and the QB accelerated right by him. But as I stated, he can certainly run. His ability to beat LT's to the spot with his speed is a blue chip quality.

Beasley vs. NC State
  • Has a chance for TFL on WR, misses tackle, goes for big gain.
  • Splits defenders, beats LT to spot, blows up pulling G, WOW play.
  • Seems more active-disengages from TE and runs down the line for tackle of 2
  • After the 1st half, really didn't generate pressure as a pass rusher
  • Unable to disengage on run play, shying away from contact
  • There's that hard inside step. Beats the LT so fast the RB didn't have time to pick him up. Sack
  • Catches LT on his heels, drives him back into QB for a strip sack. Great stutter step then convert speed to power. 
  • The wild spin move worked, but QB got rid of the ball under 2 seconds
  • Explodes off the line, tips screen pass
  • Pinning his ears back and abusing #54. Another sack. Just walked him back into the QB
  • +2 for that spin move
  • +3 for the spin move
The 1st half, Beasley was active in the run game, but no so much in the passing game. Didn't really generate any pressure. The 2nd half, he had the chance to pin his ears back, and you could see his pass rush skills on full display. It was one of the better halves I've seen from a player this year.

Beasley vs. South Carolina
  • Early on the LT is pretty much controlling him
  • Comes free on nice stunt up the middle.
  • Explosive 1st step and nice dip move. Forces QB to run
  • Is incredible at getting a jump off the ball. Strip sack
  • Plays with good leverage and kind of lucks into a sack. OL had him pretty good. Leverage won here
  • Nice hard counter inside step. Looks like a clear hold
  • Is really getting around the edge quickly.
Beasley was able to show off his explosive 1st step again this game. I wonder why we don't see this all the time. When he doesn't fire off and win with speed, the LT neutralized him pretty easily. When he did, he was a nightmare. Wouldn't say it's a liability when he's run at, but certainly not a strength.

Beasley vs. FSU
  • Nice job of scraping down the line to make tackle at LOS
  • Gets into LT's pads and walks him back into QB
  • Back to back plays washed out vs. run
  • Tries to beat LT on inside step but gets washed down LOS
  • Not a very good 1st quarter, was highly ineffective 
  • Drops into coverage, comfortable in flats
  • Unable to win with speed, getting chipped
  • Beats LT inside to the spot and gets a QB hit. There's the speed & quickness
  • Good job of holding his ground at POA vs. run
  • Noneffective generating pressure still. He's trying his spin, a counter, rip, nothing working
No reason to sugar-coat it, it wasn't a good game for Beasley. As a pass rusher he was completely taken out of his game. He couldn't beat the LT to the corner, his counter moves weren't working, nothing really was. I did like that he kept on trying and didn't give up. FSU had success running his way outside of a couple times where Beasley beat the LT to the spot.

Grade/Final Thought


Multiple Pro Bowl Player, Top 10  8.5 – 9.0
Highly Productive Starter, 1st Round  8.0 – 8.4
Very Good Starter, Early 2nd Round  7.8 – 7.9
Reliable Starter, 2nd Round  7.5 – 7.7
Potential Starter in Year 2, 3rd Round  7.0 – 7.4
Backup/Spot Starter, 4th Round  6.5 – 6.9
Productive Backup, 5th Round  6.0 – 6.4
Very Good Backup/STs, 6th Round  5.5 – 5.9
Quality Backup/Good STs, 7th Round  5.0 – 5.4
Backup/STs/Project Player, 7th Round  4.5 – 4.9
Priority Free Agent w/ Limitations  4.0 – 4.4
Non-Draftable    < 4.0



TraitWeightGrade
Vs. The Run43.4
Pass Rush Ability44
Read & React32.8
First Step22
Pass Rush Moves21.8
Tackling 21.7
Coverage2INC
Motor22
Stack & Shed/Strength at POA21.5
Feet/COD21.8


Beasley graded out to a 7.4, but I have an incomplete for his coverage, because he only dropped a handful of times. He did look comfortable when he did, so he would grade out likely to a 7.6.

Beasley is certainly one of the more explosive edge rushers in the country. Everything he does is revolved around speed. He has a very good counter step to the inside, and has a stutter step pass rush that he should rely on more often. Teams had success running his way, and him only making plays when he beat the OL to the spot makes me think he's primarily a weak-side player at the next level. Beasley is a good looking athlete, that does have some change of direction skills, but is at his best going north and south. Beasley has the skills to be a very good weak-side pass rusher at the next level. He'll need to improve at winning at the POA, but is already very good at beating lineman to the spot in the run game to make plays in the backfield.

I watched all these videos via draftbreakdown.com 

Monday, December 23, 2013

Is Anthony Barr worth a top 10 pick

There's been a ton of discussion of late on just how good Anthony Barr is. Is he worth a top 10 pick, or is he too much of a project and not worth such a high pick. As of late, I've seen Barr's name disrespected to some lowly levels. For example, "Anthony Barr is really fast Jarvis Jones", "I prefer Aaron Lynch over Barr."

So I decided to put on the tape and see if the recent talk of Barr is fair, or blown out of proportion.

Strengths 


  • Explosive 1st step
  • Closing Speed/Short Area Burst
  • Athleticism/Relentless Motor
  • Setting the Edge/Understanding run responsibilities 
  • Comfortable in underneath coverage
One area where Barr has been critiqued at recently is his flexibility, ability to bend the edge, and change of direction skills. I didn't see that as an issue. If you see Barr deflect the pitch of Taylor Martinez vs. Nebraska, his COD skills are on full display. And his ability to avoid being cut blocked in multiple games, really show his flexibility as well.


As far as bending the edge, which is when you want your player off the edge coming as tight as possible and getting to the QB, this is a strength of Barr's from the games I watched(7).


 The example above is textbook "bending the edge."


 He doesn't get home in the above example, but as you can see, he stays as tight as possible.

When he sees that he has a chance to get home, that's when Barr shows off his incredible closing speed. You can see the short area burst. What I like most is, when he gets there, he's looking to force a fumble. These are game changing plays, as evidenced by his 6 forced fumbles.







Barr has shown ability as a coverage linebacker. He looks very comfortable in space and shows off how fluid an athlete he is backpedaling away from the line of scrimmage, or changing directions guarding underneath patterns.

But the most underrated part of Barr's game is against the run. He is great at setting the edge, or not letting defenders get outside of him. As a strong-side linebacker, this is a must, and this is why I think he'll be an every down player in the NFL.

This next GIF is an example of him doing a great job of setting the edge



There's nothing "sexy" about these plays, but it can't be overlooked.

He's also very disrputive, and his relentless motor is a tribute to him having 20 TFL's this season.





Weaknesses 


  • Disengaging/Hand Usage
  • Consistent Pass rush moves
  • Awareness
  • Breaking down in space/Playing under control
  • Leverage

A lot of Barr's weaknesses are displayed all in one play. Barr will come off the snap high, the OT will get their hands on Barr, Barr won't use his length to his advantage by disengaging, and will refuse to counter. Then you have a run play where he'll either over run the play, or have a chance to break down in space and make the tackle, and he'll look silly because he isn't playing under control.

The pro style, run first teams really exposed Barr as far as his ability to shed blocks consistently. Barr is actually quite strong with his initial punch, and that's usually where he wins. But tackles lock on to him and completely neutralize him if not.

Like most players, the difference when Barr plays with good leverage, and when he doesn't, is incredible. If he's firing off low, his athleticism takes over, he can get under the OT, and get to the QB or blow up the run in the backfield. He gets himself in trouble by firing off the ball high, and that's when the downward spiral starts.

While Barr's explosive step is incredible, you can't win with speed every time. The few times he does counter, whether with a hard inside step, or another counter move, it's beautfiul.





Problem is, I can count on one hand the amount of times he's tried these. His lack of counter moves really hurts him. Barr tries a spin move, but it really has no effect, he sort of just spins in the same spot. It pales in comparison to the "Freeney Spin."

Grade

As always, grade can be fully explained





Multiple Pro Bowl Player, Top 10
  8.5 – 9.0
Highly Productive Starter, 1st Round
  8.0 – 8.4
Very Good Starter, Early 2nd Round
  7.8 – 7.9
Reliable Starter, 2nd Round
  7.5 – 7.7
Potential Starter in Year 2, 3rd Round
  7.0 – 7.4
Backup/Spot Starter, 4th Round
  6.5 – 6.9
Productive Backup, 5th Round
  6.0 – 6.4
Very Good Backup/STs, 6th Round
  5.5 – 5.9
Quality Backup/Good STs, 7th Round
  5.0 – 5.4
Backup/STs/Project Player, 7th Round
  4.5 – 4.9
Priority Free Agent w/ Limitations
  4.0 – 4.4
Non-Draftable
    < 4.0

TraitWeightGrade
Vs. The Run43.7
Pass Rush Ability44
Read & React33
First Step22
Pass Rush Moves21.4
Tackling 21.6
Coverage21.9
Motor22
Stack & Shed/Strength at POA21.7
Feet/COD22

Barr grades out as an 8.4 for me. For not having a plethora of pass rushing moves, it speaks volume to the player Barr is for how productive he's been. Many people view Barr as a 3-4 hybrid/pass rushing OLB, and I don't think that's fair to Barr. He's much more than that as a player, not to mention he's currently a 4-3 SAM LB. He's very good at the run in setting the edge, as well dropping back in coverage. The hybrid tag doesn't do Barr justice for all of his traits. Barr is an outside linebacker, who just happens to be able to rush the passer. He's far from a one trick pony.

By no means is Barr a polished pass rusher, but you can see flashes, and his athletic ability with his A+ 1st step should allow him to give NFL OL fits right away. Barr is a special player who is just scratching the surface. He's certainly worth a top 10 pick based on the tapes I've watched.










Thursday, December 19, 2013

Tim Jernigan will be the 1st of many Seminoles off the board in the 2014 NFL Draft

Florida State as a team, depending on who declares, could have up over 10 players drafted. Which is incredible considering they had 11 drafted the year before. The more I watch the team play, the more it looks like junior Tim Jernigan will be the 1st Seminole off the board.

The Seminoles transitioned into more a multiple defense this year, featuring more 3-4 than years past. This year Jernigan has played more directly over the Center, as a zero technique, or directly shaded over the shoulder of the center as a 1-tech. The move to the 3-4 has helped Jernigan flourish, and his numbers are even better than they were a year ago. Last year he had 1 sack and 8 tackles for loss through 13 games. This year, even thoguh FSU has been dominant so their starters rarely play in the 4th, Jernigan has 4.5 sacks and 10.5 tackles for loss.

Just how high of a pick is Jernigan worth?

Strengths


  • Power/Bull Rush
  • Swim/Rip Move
  • Winning at the point of attack
  • Read & React Skills/Discipline
  • Motor
You never see Jernigan run himself out of the play, he does a good job of getting to the appropriate depth in the backfield, and making the play. For a man his size, he's very aware, and is very good at sniffing out screens, as well as chasing plays down the line. He also does a good job of avoiding being cut blocked at the line of scrimmage.


Jernigan does a good job of playing to the whistle, whether he's double teamed or not, he's always trying to make the play.


It's been widely noted that Jernigan is slow off the snap, I don't think that's a disadvantage. It's as if he lulls the OL to sleep, they fire off the ball, and then he throws them to the side. Jernigan constantly wins at the point of attack. Whether it's with his swim move.







Or if he's using his A+ power to stack and shed defenders. He throws 300+ men around like rag dolls, and does it easily.








Jernigan has proven, that if he wants you to go backwards, you don't have a choice.


When defenders try moving him, they end up on their back


When you put together all his strengths, Jernigan is  an incredibly powerful man, that has good a good closing burst. His ability to stack and shed is rare. Jernigan has demonstrated that he can win with a great swim move, as well as a solid rip move. Then you factor in his discipline as a football player, based on his strengths, Jernigan is a top 15 player.

Unfortunately, it's not that easy. Like every other player, Jernigan has weaknesses, too.


Weaknesses

  • Countering
  • Constantly last player off the ball
  • Hand Usage/Keeping himself clean
  • Plays high at times
  • Relies too much on Power at times
The biggest complaint I have with Jernigan is that if he doesn't win early, you won't see him flash later on in the play and finish. Outside of his swim move and bull rush, he doesn't really have any pass rush moves. So I have a hard time imagining he would be a 3-tech at the next level. Not saying they won't develop, they're just not there yet.

Jernigan has a habit of popping straight up out of his stance and playing high. When he does this, is when he gets moved out of his spot. Because he doesn't really counter, this is an issue at time. He's also the last one off the ball more often than not. While I said it's not a fault earlier, looking ahead to the NFL, bigger stronger lineman will be able to lock onto him.

Lastly, it lumps with the previous issues, but Jernigan will rely on his power too much at times. In the NFL, you're not going to be able to out muscle every defender, when he doesn't win with his bull rush, he's just "another" player. Jernigan will need to develop more pass rush moves to be an every down player in the NFL.

Grade



Multiple Pro Bowl Player, Top 10  8.5 – 9.0
Highly Productive Starter, 1st Round  8.0 – 8.4
Very Good Starter, Early 2nd Round  7.8 – 7.9
Reliable Starter, 2nd Round  7.5 – 7.7
Potential Starter in Year 2, 3rd Round  7.0 – 7.4
Backup/Spot Starter, 4th Round  6.5 – 6.9
Productive Backup, 5th Round  6.0 – 6.4
Very Good Backup/STs, 6th Round  5.5 – 5.9
Quality Backup/Good STs, 7th Round  5.0 – 5.4
Backup/STs/Project Player, 7th Round  4.5 – 4.9
Priority Free Agent w/ Limitations  4.0 – 4.4
Non-Draftable    < 4.0




TraitWeightGrade
Run Stopping21.8
Hand Usage/placement43.5
First Step21.4
Tackling21.9
Disengage32.5
Read & React22
Leverage/Strength44
Pass Rush21.6
Toughness/Motor22
Lateral Movement22


Jernigan graded out as an 8.1 for me. So a late 1st round grade. His positional versatility should help him, as he can line up in any gap from guard to guard. Jernigan jaw dropping power, and the ability to stop the run, it won't be a surprise at all if he's taken higher than the late 1st round. He has the ability to be an effective pass rusher, with a great swim move and closing burst. If he's able to develop pass rushing moves, and consistently be able to disengage, he'll be a force in the NFL for a long time.

Player Comparison

This might surprise many, but Jernigan reminds me of Glenn Dorsey out of LSU. Dorsey was said to be undersized for the position, and might be limited to a 1 gap scheme. Both players are relentless and aggressive. Both have very quick hands & feet, and are very good at the point of attack. There are countless similarites in my opinion, you see both making plays up and down the line of scrimmage, both have impressive functional strength and win at the point of attack. Today Dorsey is one of the top run defenders in the NFL. I expect Jernigan to follow in those footsteps.